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Same video, same title, same everything except the face. 8 variants, ~40k impressions each before I called it.
Confused / mouth open 8.4% CTR
Alarmed 7.9%
Neutral, direct eye line 6.1%
Smiling, teeth 4.8%
Smiling, closed mouth 4.4%
Looking away from camera 3.9%
No face (object only) 3.7%
Laughing 3.1%
Confusion beat everything. My read: a confused face is an unresolved question, and unresolved questions are the cheapest open loop there is. A smile is resolved — nothing to find out.
Caveat that matters: this is one channel, one topic, one face. Don't take the ranking, take the mechanism.